The analyst assesses Bitcoin's current position, noting its recent drops below the bull market support band, a recurring event in the cycle. He evaluates the duration Bitcoin spends below this band, citing past instances. Dates of previous dips and subsequent recoveries above the 20-week SMA are measured. Bitcoin dominance is expected to increase, shifting liquidity from altcoins. The key to the continuation of this market cycle the analyst is saying we can go back to Q4 2025 with a bullish scenario is for Bitcoin to test the 50 week moving average. The 50 and 200 day SMAs are nearing a death cross. To invalidate the bullish thesis, the current bullish sentiments on Bitcoin and AltCoin markets would be shattered with the BTC price weekly close below 98620.