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Analysis

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ASML
Short Entry 1,029.2700 2025-10-18 17:45 UTC
Target 692.9100 Fail 1,338.1100
Risk/Reward 1 : 1
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ASML
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The video discusses the financial performance and outlook of ASML. In the most recently completed quarter, third-quarter net sales came in at €7.5 billion. The gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, and they anticipate it will move closer to 60%. Q3 net income was €2.1 billion, representing 28.3% of total net sales. Q3 net system bookings came in at €5.4 billion, split between €3.6 billion in EUV systems and €1.8 billion in non-EUV systems. They intend to announce a new share buyback program in January 2026. They expect Q4 total net sales to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with installed base management sales around €2.1 billion, and a gross margin for Q4 is expected to be between 51% and 53%. China's total net sales in 2026 are expected to decline significantly. The fundamental analysis rates the intrinsic value per share at $692.91, far from the current market price of $1015.51.
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