@parkevtatevosiancfa9544

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Avg. Quality

74

Success Rate

8.52

Analysis

317
Correct
27
Fail
89
Pending
186
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
OPEN
Short Entry 8.0150 2025-10-02 16:45 UTC
Target 2.7900 Fail 9.0000 In 3 Days
Risk/Reward 1 : 5
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Final PnL
-12.29%
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OPEN
Fail
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis focuses on Opendoor (OPEN) stock. It's noted the stock price has increased 97% over the last month, appealing to retail investors aiming for momentum-driven gains. The company's revenue surged to $15.6 billion in 2022 but has since decreased to $5.2 billion in the recent trailing twelve months due to the housing market stall, a situation exacerbated by sellers’ unwillingness to lower prices and buyers' affordability challenges. The management anticipates difficult times ahead due to economic slowdown and trade barriers. The analyst calculates the intrinsic value per share as $2.79, contrasting with the current market price of $7.97, indicating overvaluation. A hold rating is reiterated due to this valuation disparity. Opendoor's strategy of lower bids to sellers, expecting market risk, may limit inventory and purchase activity. Despite these challenges, the analyst points to referral fees as a new potential revenue stream with a lower capital intensity. Opendoor needs significant scale and refinement for sustainable profitability. Positive market factors like lower interest and mortgage rates are highlighted as potential catalysts for unlocking supply and boosting revenue.
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