@GeorgeGammon
YouTube
Avg. Quality
65
Success Rate
14.29
Analysis
7
Correct
1
Fail
2
Pending
3
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
LEN
Short Entry
125.7000
2025-09-25
04:03 UTC
Target
110.0000
Fail
130.0000
In 1 Weeks
Risk/Reward
1 : 4
Turn Signals into Profit
Join Tahlil Plus Pro to unlock full performance history, live alerts, and AI-backed risk tools.
Start Free
Final PnL
-3.42%
P/L: —
Turn Signals into Profit
Join Tahlil Plus Pro to unlock full performance history, live alerts, and AI-backed risk tools.
Start Free
The video discusses the share price of Lennar (LEN) from August 26 to the current date. During this period, the share price moves between $120 and $145. A catastrophic earnings report triggered a price plummet. Homebuilders used interest rate buy-downs to keep home prices high. When this financial engineering failed, profits declined, and the share price dropped. The company is artificially propping the market, affecting comparable home prices. The speaker believes this to be unsustainable, it is financial engineering catching up with the home builders. With profits down 46 percent, the speaker says the company is having to take a 100K loss on each home to keep the homes selling at 500K. If home sales drop and inflation continues, the labor market will weaken and increase unemployment, leading to a potential recession.