Frühwarnsystem GELB, Alarme ROT: In dieser Folge checken wir On-Chain (BTC/ETH), ETF-Flows (BTC Inflows vs. ETH Outflows – 6. Tag), die BTC-Liquidity Map, Range 120k–105k und die Makro-Lage (USD-Schwäche, Rezessionssignale, Zinswette 25/50 bp).

AI-generated source summary

The analysis covers Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) and Ethereum (ETHUSDT), highlighting a potential bullish setup for Bitcoin and bullish on ETH. The analyst mentions early warning systems lighting up yellow and red alarm bells. For Bitcoin, analyst points to $118,000 as target with major support near $100,000. For ETH current trend is bearish. He believes ETH will reach a target of $4600, establishing a $3600 fail bound. Analyst also examines long-term holders and volume for open interest. Analyst thinks in a best case scenario there is resistance around $120,000. As for Ethereum there has been 110,000 ETH removed from exchanges which implies for a bullish move.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   09 Sept 2025, 11:44 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   12 Sept 2025, 17:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   01 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   2 eligible signals linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.