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AI-generated source summary

The analyst discusses Bitcoin's historical tendency to pump after a full moon, noting a 85-90% success rate historically. A significant event is the upcoming CPI data release on Thursday, potentially influencing the FOMC meeting in 9 days. The current probability for a 25 basis point cut is 90.2%, with a 9.8% chance of a 50 basis point cut. The consensus for August CPI is 2.9%. He highlights the abysmal nature of recent job revisions. Job cuts would imply a looser monetary policy with the fed cutting interest rates with probabilities shaken up massively. All the news will be broken down and covered live on the show. There will also be Bitcoin news: Nayib Bukele buying 21 Bitcoin, Metaplanet buying Bitcoin as well as other institutions. He also touches on Litecoin and it's 'weird' performance, before launching into analysis. From a pure price action, the $12.1K region is key. If it breaks there, it goes to 16.8K. For Ethereum, he is still long from the $1.5-1.6k region, and is looking for a breakout from the symmetrical triangle. While he doesn't like the MicroStrategy chart, the bullish scenario has Bitcoin going to $135-150k.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   08 Sept 2025, 18:49 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   13 Sept 2025, 08:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   10 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   2 eligible signals linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.