Prediction Case File
YouTubeEvaluation Complete

Let's talk about #SPX and account for M2, the money supply.

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

Benjamin Cowen profile imageBenjamin Cowen12 Jul 2025, 04:00 UTC
Video preview for Let's talk about #SPX and account for M2, the money supply.
Signals
1
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
1
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
1
Canonical correct result
Failed
0
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
100%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video analyzes the S&P 500, mentioning a 20% drop followed by a rally to new all-time highs. It references tracking the money supply in relation to the S&P 500 to gain insight in the market. The current state sees low levels of umemployment 4.2% which usually results in the market going up. There is an overlay chart used relating the historical 1998 crash for future patterns. A pattern match is identified to a .com bubble surge.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Continue the evidence trail
Analyst history

Benjamin Cowen

Tracked signals
230
Historical success
37.4%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.