Prediction Case File
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The Worst Signal On My Chart Just Fired

2 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 2 still active

Simpler Trading profile imageSimpler TradingIndependent analyst profile
Source published
30 Oct 2026, 20:42 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
31 Oct 2026, 02:42 UTC
Video preview for The Worst Signal On My Chart Just Fired
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on a bearish outlook for the broader market and several key technology stocks, including SPY, QQQ, NVDA, AMD, and CRM. The primary thesis revolves around the concept of 'Put Broken Wing Flies' and bearish divergence signals observed across multiple timeframes (4-hour, daily, weekly). For SPY, a target of $390.95 is set with a failure bound at $425.0, indicating a bearish prediction with a defined risk level. QQQ is also predicted to move bearishly, targeting $311.5 with a fail bound at $345.0. NVDA shows a target of $170.0 with a fail bound at $230.0. AMD targets $75.0, failing below $97.0, and CRM targets $200.0, failing above $235.0. The rationale behind these bearish predictions is based on technical indicators showing overbought conditions, negative gamma, and potential for significant downside continuation after failing to hold key levels. The analysis suggests that the market is positioned for a decline, with these specific stocks offering potential downside trading opportunities. The failure bounds are set to invalidate the bearish thesis if the price moves against the predicted trend.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

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Signals
2
Extracted from this source
Open
2
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
—
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    2 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Simpler Trading

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
—
Tracked signals
8
Historical success
—
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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