Michael Burry Bets Micron Halves By June 2027
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Rational CompounderIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 02 Oct 2026, 14:39 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 27 Oct 2026, 08:47 UTC
AI-generated source summary
Michael Burry has updated his bearish thesis on the AI boom, shifting from short positions to buying put options with a strike price around $500 and an expiration in June 2027. This move suggests a belief that the current market, particularly in semiconductor stocks like Micron, is due for a significant downturn, potentially driven by a reversal in AI demand or a broader market correction. The analysis highlights historical instances where Micron's stock fell significantly before its guidance was lowered, suggesting a pattern of overextension before a downturn. The high future supply from new fabs coming online in 2027, combined with potentially softening demand, could put pressure on prices. The current stock price of MU at $65.65 is considered too high given the assumed growth rate and discount rate in a DCF model, implying a significant downside potential. A breakeven for Burry's puts would require the stock to fall below approximately $55, while a more conservative target for the short play could be around $48-$49 per share based on historical cycles, though the risk of oversupply and waning AI hype presents a strong bearish case.
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