Raoul Pal :"This F**ked my BTC & ETH Prediction But It's About to Turn VERY BULLISH"

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The video discusses the long-term cycles of Bitcoin and Ethereum, drawing parallels to the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. It highlights that while Bitcoin reached a record high of $126,080 in October 2025, it fell to around $82,400 by October 2026, a 35% decrease. Ethereum also experienced a significant drop, trading near $2,400 at its August 2025 peak of $4,950, resulting in a roughly 50% decline. The analysis suggests that individual investors often buy at the top and sell at the bottom due to emotional trading, which leads to underperformance compared to simply holding. The speaker, Raoul Pal, emphasizes the importance of long-term investing and a 'buy the dip' strategy, particularly when assets are oversold, citing his own successful trades in Solana and Ethereum during market downturns. He contrasts this with the difficulty of timing the market, especially in volatile assets like crypto. The video also touches upon macroeconomic factors such as US debt and corporate AI spending, suggesting that these could influence market movements. However, the core message focuses on disciplined, long-term investing based on understanding market cycles and fundamental value rather than short-term speculation.

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