Michael Burry Just Told Us How Far He Thinks 5 AI Stocks Will Fall — and When
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Smart X CapitalIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 18 Oct 2026, 14:07 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The analysis is bearish on tech stocks, specifically focusing on AI-related companies and memory chip manufacturers. Michael Burry's short positions are detailed, with specific crash thresholds and expiry dates provided for NDX (-20% by Sep 2027), SOXX (-29% by Sep 2027), NVDA (-36% by Sep 2027), PLTR (-45% by Sep 2027), MU (-50%+ by Jun 2027), and ORCL (-60%+ by Dec 2027). The video highlights NVDA's dependence on its customers' balance sheets, drawing parallels to the dot-com bubble with Lucent. It also points out the cyclical nature of the memory chip market, with Micron facing historical price drops during industry downturns. The analysis suggests current market conditions are near a peak, with potential for a significant contraction by 2026-2027. The presenter's personal strategy involves holding a small equity position (35-40%) while awaiting better valuations, exiting if fundamentals deteriorate. The video also touches on the AI spending cycle and the potential for oversupply in memory chips.
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