Prediction Case File
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This Model Screamed Buy At The June Lows... Now It’s Saying This

2 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 2 still active

Crypto Capital Venture profile imageCrypto Capital VentureIndependent analyst profile
Source published
13 Oct 2026, 18:29 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
13 Oct 2026, 21:18 UTC
Video preview for This Model Screamed Buy At The June Lows... Now It’s Saying This
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on long-term risk models for various cryptocurrencies, suggesting accumulation opportunities when risk levels are low. Bitcoin's risk level dropped to 15, historically indicating a strong buy signal. The current risk level for Bitcoin is 29, with historical data showing that the price was higher 64% of the time after 3 months and 93% of the time after 1 year when at this risk level. Cardano's risk level hit 5, suggesting it is near a bottom. Today's Bitcoin risk is at 29, indicating a moderate buy. Historically, when Bitcoin risk has been at this level, the price has been higher 93% of the time one year later. Cardano is currently at a risk level of 19, also considered a strong buy. The US Business Cycle Index has confirmed expansion for 50 months, with the last similar expansion occurring in 2020-2021. This period is identified as a potential low-risk window before the next real expansion. The analysis suggests that when risk runs high in a bull market, it's a signal to take profits. The CCVI risk models are available for various coins including Bitcoin, Cardano, Ethereum, and NEAR, with tools to suggest investment amounts based on risk tolerance. The long-term outlook for Bitcoin suggests a target of 120,000, with a failure bound at 75,000. For Cardano, a target of 0.5 is suggested with a failure bound at 0.15. Ethereum is targeted at 4,500 with a failure bound at 2,500. NEAR is predicted to reach 8 with a failure bound at 3.5. The overall market trend is interpreted as bullish, with the current market showing positive expansion.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
2
Extracted from this source
Open
2
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
—
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    2 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Crypto Capital Venture

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
41.9
Tracked signals
381
Historical success
26.3%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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