The longer the crypto market rallies, the more that people are starting to ask when the crypto bear market could begin, how low crypto prices could go, and how to tell when the bottom is in.

AI-generated source summary

The video analyzes the potential end of the crypto bull market, focusing on Bitcoin using technical indicators. The analysis suggests that there's no consensus on when a bull market ends, and different interpretations exist. The video uses the Bitcoin halving as a reference, noting that Bitcoin tends to top 16-18 months after halving, with the most recent halving in April 2024 suggesting a cycle top in August-October 2025. Also, the video proposes to utilize the Bollinger Band moving average on Bitcoin's monthly timeframe as a line between the bull and bear market. A Relative Strength Index RSI of 40 or lower during this timeframe traditionally indicates that the market has nearly bottomed, though it's still possible for the value to dip lower.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   31 Aug 2025, 16:45 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   05 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   05 Oct 2025, 04:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.