Prediction Case File
YouTubeTracking Live

Can SPY Reach 800? The Bond Market Holds the Key| Elliott Wave S&P500 VIX Technical Analysis

5 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 5 still active

Elliott Wave Options profile imageElliott Wave OptionsIndependent analyst profile
Source published
03 Oct 2026, 02:31 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
03 Oct 2026, 05:54 UTC
Video preview for Can SPY Reach 800? The Bond Market Holds the Key| Elliott Wave S&P500 VIX Technical Analysis
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The US market update shows a mixed technical picture. SPY is showing bearish momentum on the daily chart, trading below its 10-day moving average, and the analyst suggests a potential move back down to 750, invalidating the bullish target of 800. TLT has also experienced selling pressure, closing lower than its open, with yields rising. The analyst highlights the importance of the 77.48 level for TLT. In the bond market, the US Dollar is exhibiting strength, while commodities like Gold (GLD) and Silver (SLV) are showing bearish trends, with GLD's target at 400 and SLV's target at 55. In crypto, BITBTC and ETHW are predicted to be bullish, with targets at 47.5 and 20.0 respectively. Tech stocks like NVDA and TSLA are analyzed, with NVDA showing a bearish descending triangle pattern and TSLA showing a potential bearish setup. The QQQ and RSP are also discussed, with QQQ showing a bullish pennant formation and RSP indicating a potential for a further move up if the 61.8% retracement level holds. The overall market sentiment appears cautious, with a focus on the upcoming Fed decisions and their impact on interest rates and liquidity.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
5
Extracted from this source
Open
5
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
—
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    5 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    5 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Elliott Wave Options

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
50.2
Tracked signals
73
Historical success
40.0%
View full analyst profile →
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

Continue the evidence trail