Fährt Japan die gesamte Börse gegen die Wand?! 📉
1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active
Wir Lieben Aktien GmbHIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 02 Oct 2026, 16:10 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 02 Oct 2026, 20:29 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The Japanese Yen (JPY) has been weakening significantly against the US Dollar (USD) over the past years. Historically, the yen-carry trade, where investors borrow JPY at low interest rates (around 1.00%) and invest in USD assets offering higher yields (3.75-4.00%), has been profitable due to the interest rate differential of approximately 3%. However, the recent dramatic shift in the USD/JPY exchange rate, moving from approximately 103.23 to 163.86, has made this trade increasingly risky. The weakening yen means that the cost to repay the borrowed yen has risen substantially. In the past, 100 JPY could be exchanged for 1 USD, but now it requires about 150 JPY for 1 USD. This depreciation of the yen poses a significant problem for Japan, as it makes imports more expensive. Consequently, the Japanese Ministry of Finance has been intervening massively in the forex market to support the yen. In August, over 15 billion yen were spent to strengthen the currency. As the yen strengthens, the yen-carry trade becomes unsustainable. If the yen continues to strengthen, Japanese investors might be forced to close their positions by selling USD assets and buying back yen, which could exacerbate the yen's rise and further disrupt the carry trade.
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