Let's talk about the main reasons why #ALT season has not happened this market cycle so far, and what things might need to happen in order for #ALT season to happen again.

AI-generated source summary

The video analyzes the potential for altcoin season by assessing Bitcoin dominance and altcoin market capitalization ratios. It references an earlier video from four months ago on the same topic.The analysis defines altseason as a constant devaluation of Bitcoin dominance with an increase in the altcoin market, and Bitcoin season is the reverse.The video examines two historical altseasons, 2017 and late 2020-early 2021, noting Bitcoin dominance dropped in those periods, it is noted that in 2018-2019 Bitcoin dominance instead increased.The analysis suggests it has been more of a Bitcoin season recently.Also, per the current analysis, TOTAL3/BTC is at 0.31 and could decline to 0.25.It mentions that the Federal Reserve is a factor in all of this, and the effect of interest rates must be taken into account.The possibility for Bitcoin to have a high would be by September for a value of 66%.Ultimately the analyst infers that based on previous patterns any kind of movement in the altcoin market will not occur before a change in monetary policy.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   27 Jun 2025, 19:23 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:46 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   18 Jul 2026, 21:56 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. Live evaluation in progress

   01 Aug 2026, 02:50 UTC

   1 signal remains active.