Prediction Case File
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Это будет ДОЛГИЙ медвежий рынок

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

IKIGAI profile imageIKIGAIIndependent analyst profile
Source published
16 Aug 2026, 09:10 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
30 Sept 2026, 08:27 UTC
Video preview for Это будет ДОЛГИЙ медвежий рынок
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on Elliott Wave theory and market cycle analysis for Bitcoin and XRP. For Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), the presenter identifies a completed 5-wave impulse move (waves I-V) and suggests the current phase is wave IV of a larger cycle. The prediction is for a continuation of the bullish trend, targeting $300,000. The fail bound for this bullish outlook is set at $15,000, which would invalidate the extended bullish thesis. The analysis for XRPUSDT suggests a completed 5-wave impulse move (waves I-V) followed by a corrective phase (waves a-b-c) within a larger bearish cycle. The presenter anticipates a decline to a target of $0.015, with a fail bound at $1.5, beyond which the bearish prediction would be invalidated. The reasoning is based on observed patterns in previous market cycles, specifically the duration and magnitude of previous bull and bear markets, and the application of Fibonacci retracement levels.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
1
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0%
1 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

IKIGAI

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
11.3
Tracked signals
5
Historical success
0.0%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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