Когда биткоин достигает минимума? Доходность биткоина по циклам

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The video shows a weekly chart of Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), indicating a current price of approximately $75,771. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin is currently in a bearish trend, as evidenced by its position relative to the 50-week moving average. While there's a recent upward movement, the long-term trend and the cyclical analysis presented imply a potential further decline. The cyclical analysis compares current ROI cycles with historical ones, showing that while past cycles often saw significant gains, the current cycle's performance is lagging, particularly in its later stages. The speaker notes that historical bear market cycles tend to see sharp drops followed by limited recovery before the next downturn. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's minimums in previous cycles occurred around day 364, and the current price action might be approaching a similar point. The speaker's target for BTCUSDT is $75,000, with a fail bound set at $76,500, indicating that a move above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook. The overall sentiment is cautious, leaning towards further downside based on historical cyclical patterns, despite short-term price fluctuations.

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