The Bond Market is Having a Historical Meltdown
2 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 2 still active
StockedUpIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 29 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 30 Sept 2026, 02:01 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The 30-year US Treasury yield (US30Y) is pushing to levels not seen since 2002, trading above 5.59%. This marks a significant bearish trend for bonds, wiping out 20 years of gains and indicating a potential continuation of the upward trend in yields. The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) has also hit 5.293%, continuing its uptrend. This rise in yields is strongly correlated with the decline in the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which is sliding lower. The SPY is down from its all-time high, trading just below 764.04, and shows a bearish trend. The market is pricing in increased expectations for Fed rate hikes, with the probability for an October hike falling to 49.3% but still showing significant rate hike expectations for future meetings. The overall market sentiment is bearish, driven by rising yields and the ongoing hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve.
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