Prediction Case File
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Starbucks SBUX Stock Analysis + Intrinsic Value

1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. profile imageValue Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.Independent analyst profile
Source published
27 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
27 Sept 2026, 13:02 UTC
Video preview for Starbucks SBUX Stock Analysis + Intrinsic Value
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on Starbucks (SBUX), highlighting its historical stock performance and current financial health. Despite a past decline of 16.65% over five years, the company has demonstrated long-term growth, with revenues increasing sixfold and profits eightfold over 15-20 years. However, recent net income has halved from $4 billion to $2 billion, and gross margins have declined in the last fiscal year, now at 23.08%, with net income margins at 6.99%. Long-term debt has also increased significantly since 2018, moving from a positive total equity to a leveraged position. Analysts are predominantly neutral ('Hold' with 18 out of 37 ratings), with a significant number of 'Strong Buy' (12) and some 'Sell' (2) and 'Strong Sell' (1) ratings. Forward PE is estimated around 25-26, with EPS growth projected at 19-21% for FY26-FY28. The intrinsic value is estimated at $96.91 in a normal case scenario, suggesting the current stock price of $95.11 is near fair value, with a potential downside in the worst-case scenario leading to a stock price of $63.35.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

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Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
—
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Analyst snapshot

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
45.4
Tracked signals
113
Historical success
31.6%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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