Prediction Case File
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Is this a failed breakout?

3 extracted signals · 3 resolved · 0 still active

Trade Brigade profile imageTrade BrigadeIndependent analyst profile
Source published
24 Sept 2026, 01:56 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
24 Sept 2026, 02:36 UTC
Video preview for Is this a failed breakout?
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on the bearish trend of SPY, RSP, and IWM, indicating a breakdown in their respective charts with new closing lows and active downtrends. The speaker notes that while SPY shows some signs of potential recovery, the overall market sentiment remains bearish. The failure bound for SPY is identified at 766, with a target of 775, suggesting a short-term bearish outlook. RSP and IWM also exhibit similar bearish patterns, with specific price levels mentioned for potential entries and invalidations, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend thesis. The speaker highlights the importance of price action and volume in confirming these bearish setups, while also acknowledging the potential for short-term bounces or consolidations within the broader downtrend. The analysis suggests that while individual stocks like PANW and OKTA might show some bullish characteristics, the overall market sentiment is dictated by the weakness in the broader indices like SPY, RSP, and IWM. The market is seen as needing to consolidate and digest recent moves before a potential bullish reversal can be considered. The current price action indicates selling pressure and a lack of strong buying interest, supporting the bearish thesis.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
3
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
3
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0%
3 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    3 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

Trade Brigade

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
68.6
Tracked signals
120
Historical success
64.7%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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