Yields Break Out To 5.12%: Next Great Depression Odds Keep Rising Faster
1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active
Gareth SolowayIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 23 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 23 Sept 2026, 20:06 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The 10-year US Treasury yield has broken out above 5.12%, reaching levels not seen in over 15 years. This surge, breaking through a significant 2019 high at 5.02%, signals strong upward momentum. Historically, such yield increases, especially when combined with high national debt (over $40 trillion), can precede significant economic downturns, drawing parallels to the 2007-2008 financial crisis and the 1929-1930s Great Depression. The Federal Reserve is hiking rates, with a 68.6% probability of a 0.25% hike in October and a 53.2% chance in December, aiming to control inflation. However, the market shows resilience, with the S&P 500 down 0.66% and the Nasdaq up. Bitcoin, despite a recent dip, is showing signs of a potential bullish continuation after forming a higher high and breaking resistance. Gold and Silver are currently under pressure, with both showing bearish trends and potential for further downside if key support levels fail.
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Gareth Soloway
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