Prediction Case File
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The S&P Is Lying to You. Look Underneath. (DEEP Dive)

1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active

StockCharts TV profile imageStockCharts TVIndependent analyst profile
Source published
11 Sept 2026, 21:55 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
13 Sept 2026, 16:20 UTC
Video preview for The S&P Is Lying to You. Look Underneath. (DEEP Dive)
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis indicates a divergence between the S&P 500 (SPX) and the equal-weighted S&P 500 (SPXEW). The SPX is showing strength, closing above its 10 and 21-day moving averages with positive RSI and MACD, suggesting a bullish continuation. However, the SPXEW is exhibiting weakness, trading below its key moving averages and showing negative RSI and MACD, indicating a bearish divergence. This suggests that while the broader market is supported, the gains are not broadly distributed across all stocks. The 10-year Treasury yield (TNX) is at 4.97%, nearing a potential target of 5.0%, and has historically shown an inverse relationship with market performance during periods of rising yields. However, current market conditions suggest that yields may continue to rise without immediately impacting the market negatively due to factors like AI stock growth and a lower rate outlook. The analysis highlights the importance of monitoring these divergences and yields for potential shifts in market leadership and overall trend.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

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Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Analyst snapshot

StockCharts TV

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
53.1
Tracked signals
11
Historical success
55.6%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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