Prediction Case File
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Bitcoin: A Comprehensive View Of How The Bull Market Starts

1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active

Crypto Jebb profile imageCrypto JebbIndependent analyst profile
Source published
07 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
07 Sept 2026, 18:47 UTC
Video preview for Bitcoin: A Comprehensive View Of How The Bull Market Starts
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis suggests that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a new bull market, supported by multiple models. The Quantile model indicates that the bear market has completed its job, with previous bear market bottoms failing to go below the short-term holder's realized price. The STH Realized Price (Short-Term Holder Realized Price) and the STH Momentum indicators are analyzed to show that Bitcoin has bottomed out in previous bear markets. The average cost basis of US Spot ETF deposits is also presented as a key level, with Blackrock's cost basis around $82,000 and Fidelity's around $72,000. The analysis argues that Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture, needing to bounce off its current cost basis levels or break above $82,000 to confirm a bullish trend. It highlights that historical bull markets began when Bitcoin broke above short-term holder realized prices, and the current situation suggests this is imminent, with the expectation of a new bull market driven by institutional entry.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Analyst snapshot

Crypto Jebb

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
44.2
Tracked signals
304
Historical success
29.7%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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