Prediction Case File
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SPMO vs VOO: I Finally Did The Math On $100,000

2 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 2 still active

Peter Pru profile imagePeter PruIndependent analyst profile
Source published
02 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
02 Sept 2026, 19:21 UTC
Video preview for SPMO vs VOO: I Finally Did The Math On $100,000
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis compares two ETFs, SPMO and VOO, focusing on their performance over a 10-year period, specifically from 2016 to 2026. SPMO, which selects stocks based on momentum and adjusts for volatility, has outperformed VOO, a market-cap-weighted S&P 500 ETF. Over 10 years, SPMO yielded approximately 20% annually, while VOO yielded 15%. Year-to-date in 2026, SPMO returned 25-30%, versus VOO's 12-13%. SPMO has a higher expense ratio (0.13%) compared to VOO (0.03%), and a higher beta (1.33), indicating greater volatility. During market downturns, SPMO has historically experienced larger drawdowns, approximately 20% compared to VOO's 15% in 2022. The correlation between SPMO and VOO is 0.81, suggesting they move in tandem, meaning holding both offers limited diversification benefits. The analysis highlights that SPMO is a bet on momentum continuing to work, fitting investors with a long time horizon, high risk tolerance, and a strategy of buying the dips. The 10-year performance data shows that while SPMO has delivered superior total returns, its higher volatility and sharper reversals are a significant consideration.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

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Signal outcomes at a glance

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Signals
2
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Open
2
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0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
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Other
0
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Resolved success
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

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  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

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  5. Outcome tracking started

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  6. Live evaluation in progress

    2 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Peter Pru

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
88.3
Tracked signals
28
Historical success
100.0%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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