Prediction Case File
YouTubePartially Resolved

I Copied Nancy Pelosi's Trades for 7 Years (Surprising Results)

2 extracted signals · 1 resolved · 1 still active

Bald Investor profile imageBald InvestorIndependent analyst profile
Source published
25 Jul 2026, 13:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
01 Sept 2026, 08:47 UTC
Video preview for I Copied Nancy Pelosi's Trades for 7 Years (Surprising Results)
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis tracks the performance of stocks Pelosi reportedly traded from 2018 to 2026, comparing them to the S&P 500. While specific entry and exit points are not detailed for each trade, the aggregate performance is shown. For instance, in December 2018, a $10,000 portfolio, mimicking Pelosi's trades, held AMZN (67.8%), AAPL (22.6%), T (5.7%), and META (4%), valued at $9,636. By December 2021, the portfolio grew to $16,015, outperforming the S&P 500's $17,344, with holdings diversifying to include NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, MU, BRK-B, LLY, JPM, and AMD. However, by December 2023, the portfolio value decreased to $14,311, trailing the S&P 500's $14,487, reflecting significant drops in tech stocks like NVDA and META. The analysis highlights that despite the diversification and consistent reinvestment, the portfolio has underperformed the S&P 500 over the analyzed period, particularly in the final two years. The final reported value for January 2026 is $30,879, outperforming the S&P 500's $26,603, with a total return of +208.8% versus the S&P 500's +168.0%. The analysis suggests that while individual trades are not explicitly detailed, the overall strategy aims to mirror successful investors, but the performance relative to the market benchmark varies significantly over time, with tech heavyweights driving both gains and losses.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Partially Resolved
Signals
2
Extracted from this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
100%
1 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Analyst snapshot

Bald Investor

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
66.5
Tracked signals
10
Historical success
75.0%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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