I Mapped Bitcoin's September Day by Day. Here's the Schedule.

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's historical performance in September, identifying a pattern of a shallow dip early in the month followed by a grind higher, peaking around day 19. The data suggests that Bitcoin has historically performed well in September, with the median gain being approximately 6% and the average gain around 4.4% from the open. Several data points suggest that a significant dip, possibly to the $72,000-75,000 range, would be a buying opportunity. The key trigger for a bullish continuation is a monthly close above the 50-month EMA, which historically has not happened often. October's performance is also highlighted, with historical median returns of about 12.8%, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards $105,708 by year-end. The analysis also notes that significant drawdowns historically occur when Bitcoin closes below $69,498, which has not happened in the last six green Septembers. The current two-week chart shows Bitcoin attempting to reclaim the median on the HPDR indicator, a level not seen since July 2025, suggesting potential upside if this level is held. Bitcoin's positive performance is further supported by its behavior in October, which has historically been a strong month, and the potential for further upside in Q4 and year-end, especially if Bitcoin can maintain a monthly close above the 50-month EMA.

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