Prediction Case File
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Everyone Waited For Lower Bitcoin… I Told You So

2 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 2 still active

Merlijn The Trader profile imageMerlijn The TraderIndependent analyst profile
Source published
21 Aug 2026, 17:45 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
21 Aug 2026, 18:01 UTC
Video preview for Everyone Waited For Lower Bitcoin… I Told You So
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis highlights historical patterns in Bitcoin and Ethereum, suggesting a potential upward trend based on previous cycles. Bitcoin's 144-day bottom pattern in 2022 and 2026 is noted, similar to previous cycles which were followed by significant gains. The speaker points out the same RSI divergence observed in past bull runs, indicating a potential recovery. The current market is described as having experienced a significant rally for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitcoin is up 229% and Ethereum is up 283% since their respective bottoms. The analysis emphasizes that bottoms are not measured by feelings but by price and time, specifically citing evidence of past bottoms confirmed by price action and momentum. The speaker notes that while many predicted Bitcoin's bottom at $80k, the actual bottom was around $62,500, and for Ethereum, the bottom was around $2,400, not the expected $1,700. The current price action on the 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows it is nearing resistance at $82,500 and the key support level is around $73,000. A break above the resistance could lead to a rapid rally. Ethereum's short-term support is identified at $2,034, with resistance at $2,407. A break above this resistance could propel Ethereum towards $3,000 and potentially higher, targeting $3,500.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
2
Extracted from this source
Open
2
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    2 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Merlijn The Trader

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
57.6
Tracked signals
82
Historical success
50.0%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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