Prediction Case File
YouTubePartially Resolved

I Rebuilt SCHD's Old Portfolio... Here's What I Found

7 extracted signals · 4 resolved · 3 still active

Mark Roussin, CPA profile imageMark Roussin, CPAIndependent analyst profile
Source published
28 Jul 2026, 14:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
18 Aug 2026, 16:13 UTC
Video preview for I Rebuilt SCHD's Old Portfolio... Here's What I Found
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) underwent its annual reconstitution in March 2026, a process that involves rebalancing its holdings based on specific criteria. This year's reconstitution was notable for its scale, with 25 stocks added and 22 removed. The additions, including UNH, ABT, PG, QCOM, ADP, BX, ARES, PFG, BR, ORI, BAH, M, ERIE, KFY, and PAYX, were generally among the top performers in the period from March 23 to July 27, 2026. UNH, for example, saw a performance of 54.8%, while ABT and QCOM also showed strong positive returns. However, some additions like ACN and CMCSA underperformed. Conversely, deletions included significant names such as CSCO, ABBV, VLO, HAL, PKG, and CF, which, despite their recent strong performance, were removed from the portfolio. Stocks like CSCO and ABBV, removed despite strong recent gains, have seen significant returns since the reconstitution. The sector performance of the S&P 500 shows energy leading year-to-date, with consumer discretionary lagging. The reconstitution process itself aims to maintain the quality and dividend-paying characteristics of the ETF, focusing on a rules-based methodology to ensure consistency and adaptability over time.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Partially Resolved
Signals
7
Extracted from this source
Open
3
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
3
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
25%
4 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    7 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Live evaluation in progress

    3 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Mark Roussin, CPA

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
40.8
Tracked signals
22
Historical success
33.3%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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