This Historical Bitcoin Signal Predicted Every Bottom!
1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active
Crypto GoosIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 12 Aug 2026, 10:52 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 12 Aug 2026, 13:06 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The analysis focuses on the Bitcoin monthly death cross, which occurs when the 1-year Simple Moving Average (SMA) crosses below the 2-year SMA. Historically, this event has preceded significant bear markets, often marking the end of a bull cycle and the beginning of a prolonged downturn. The video highlights past instances in 2015, 2019, and 2023, where such crosses were followed by substantial price drops. The current situation shows the 1-year SMA (green line) potentially crossing below the 2-year SMA (red line). The analysis suggests that if this cross is confirmed, Bitcoin is likely to enter a bear market. The current price is approximately $66,088, with a target of $115,915 for the bullish trend to continue, but the failure bound that invalidates this bullish scenario and confirms the bear market is estimated around $45,700. The indicator is considered a lagging indicator, but its consistent historical correlation with bear market bottoms makes it a significant signal for potential trend reversals.
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Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.