Is the crypto bull run over? The recent market crash has everyone panicking, but before you sell your portfolio, we need to look at the data. In this deep-dive analysis, I'll show you the top signals that indicate the cycle top is NOT in, explain the real reason for this sell-off, and lay out my exa

AI-generated source summary

The analyst predicts Bitcoin to reach $126,000-$128,000, then dip to $105,000-$112,000, followed by a rebound. The analyst believes market seasonality and leveraged positions are affecting the market, and mentions PPI (Producer Price Index) data showing a meaningful inflation increase, suggesting increased fees in portfolio management. Bitcoin and Ethereum moved up rapidly before this event. A high level of leverage was created that resulted in liquidations and bearish price movement. The analyst notes the median return for August is -7.49% historically. Government drawdowns are affecting liquidations. Cycle is likely to extend to early 2026.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   21 Aug 2025, 03:46 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   22 Aug 2025, 12:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   10 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:47 UTC

   2 eligible signals linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.