Prediction Case File
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🎯Wiesz, które DWIE liczby mówią, że to jeszcze nie dno? 🎯 Bitcoin

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

Krypto Na Fali profile imageKrypto Na FaliIndependent analyst profile
Source published
04 Aug 2026, 19:35 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
04 Aug 2026, 21:32 UTC
Video preview for 🎯Wiesz, które DWIE liczby mówią, że to jeszcze nie dno? 🎯 Bitcoin
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video discusses Bitcoin's current price of approximately $63,000 and analyzes whether it has reached a bottom. Two key metrics are presented to suggest it has not: the Long-Term Holder Realized Price, currently around $49,000, and the Short-Term Holder Realized Price, at approximately $71,000. The analysis suggests that when the current price is above the Long-Term Holder Realized Price ($49,000), it is considered 'expensive,' and when below, it's 'cheap' or a 'promotion' in the long term. Currently, Bitcoin is trading about 28% above the $49,000 mark, indicating it is not yet at a bottom according to this metric, as long-term holders are still in profit. The Short-Term Holder Realized Price of $71,000 is presented as a potential target or a level that short-term holders might reach. Short-term holders are currently approximately 11% 'underwater' relative to this $71,000 level. Historically, bear markets are considered to end, and bull markets to begin, only when the Short-Term Holder Realized Price falls below the Long-Term Holder Realized Price, a condition not yet met. The speaker emphasizes watching the intersection of these two lines as a signal for the start of a new bull cycle, suggesting that the 'bottom' forms when short-term holders are in significant pain and start selling, rather than when the price is simply dropping.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
1
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
100%
1 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

Krypto Na Fali

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
41.7
Tracked signals
13
Historical success
38.5%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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