Prediction Case File
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Trillion Dollar Shadow Bank Just Went Into CRISIS MODE (It's Systemic)

5 extracted signals · 5 resolved · 0 still active

George Gammon profile imageGeorge Gammon26 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC
Video preview for Trillion Dollar Shadow Bank Just Went Into CRISIS MODE (It's Systemic)
Signals
5
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
5
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
1
Canonical correct result
Failed
4
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
20%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video analyzes the market trend of several financial institutions, including Apollo Global Management (APO), BlackRock (BLK), Blackstone Inc. (BX), Morgan Stanley (MS), and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM). The analysis highlights a consistent bearish trend across these stocks, with price charts showing significant declines from late 2023 into early 2024. Specifically, APO's chart displays a drop from approximately $160 to $100, BLK from $1200 to $900, BX from $175 to $100, MS from $190 to $165, and JPM from $330 to $280. The presenter suggests that these declines are indicative of systemic risk and potential collapse, drawing parallels to the 2008 financial crisis. The analysis points to underlying issues in private credit markets and the broader economy, suggesting that companies are overvaluing assets and that a 'Ponzi scheme' may be in play. The 'off-ramp' strategy in private credit is presented as a mechanism for these institutions to offload risky assets. The current price for APO is around $111.32, with a target of $100 and a fail bound of $113.0. BLK is trading at $973.52, with a target of $900 and a fail bound of $980.0. BX is at $107.76, targeting $100 with a fail bound of $108.5. MS is at $165.73, targeting $160 with a fail bound of $167.0. JPM is at $292.17, targeting $280 with a fail bound of $295.0. The overall sentiment is bearish, anticipating further downside for these stocks.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    5 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

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Analyst history

George Gammon

Tracked signals
25
Historical success
41.7%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.