Prediction Case File
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US PPI Inflation Report LIVE – Gold Rally or Crash?

5 extracted signals · 5 resolved · 0 still active

Mohammad Arafat profile imageMohammad Arafat13 May 2026, 12:36 UTC
Video preview for US PPI Inflation Report LIVE – Gold Rally or Crash?
Signals
5
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
5
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
3
Canonical correct result
Failed
2
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
60%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The market analysis indicates a prevailing bearish sentiment across various assets, including XAUUSD, XAGUSD, USOIL, NATGAS, EURUSD, GBPUSD, BTCUSD, NAS100, SP500, US30, and NIFTY. The speaker notes that XAUUSD is trading in a narrow range, potentially awaiting inflation data. BTCUSD has shown a downward trend, with a target below 79000, and a failure bound at 81000. The speaker also mentions that if inflation data comes in softer than expected, it might lead to a dovish stance from the Fed, potentially impacting Bitcoin. US indices like NAS100, SP500, and US30 are also showing bearish signals, with targets set significantly lower than current prices. The analysis suggests caution against buying in the current market conditions due to the prevailing uncertainty and potential for further downturns. Specific mentions of a potential move below 50 for the Gold/Silver ratio if it breaks the support at 54 are also highlighted as a bearish indicator.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    5 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Continue the evidence trail
Analyst history

Mohammad Arafat

Tracked signals
691
Historical success
55.5%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.