Prediction Case File
YouTubePartially Resolved

Every FOMC Meeting Crashed Bitcoin… Is It Happening Again?

2 extracted signals · 1 resolved · 1 still active

Merlijn The Trader profile imageMerlijn The Trader17 Jun 2026, 16:30 UTC
Video preview for Every FOMC Meeting Crashed Bitcoin… Is It Happening Again?
Signals
2
Eligible signals in this source
Open
1
Still being tracked
Resolved
1
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
1
Canonical correct result
Failed
0
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
100%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The current market analysis focuses on Bitcoin and Ethereum, observing a consistent pattern of price drops after Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings throughout 2023. Bitcoin has experienced significant declines of 12% to 33% following these meetings. The current price for Bitcoin is around $65,566.71. The analysis suggests that if Bitcoin breaks its current downward trend, it might retrace to previous support levels, potentially invalidating the bearish outlook. However, the presenter's primary thesis is that the recent FOMC decision, which kept rates unchanged, has led to a period of consolidation rather than a bullish reversal. The target for a short position on Bitcoin is identified at $55,000, with a fail bound at $73,000. The analysis also highlights Ethereum's weakness, with the price struggling around $1,770.90, failing to break through resistance at $1,838.01. A short position target for Ethereum is set at $1,700. The overall market sentiment appears bearish due to these observed patterns and the ongoing regulatory environment in Europe affecting crypto platforms.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Live evaluation in progress

    1 signal remains active.

Extracted intelligence

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Analyst history

Merlijn The Trader

Tracked signals
57
Historical success
53.3%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.