Prediction Case File
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How Much I Actually Made in 2025, Full Portfolio Breakdown

3 extracted signals · 3 resolved · 0 still active

Boon Tee profile imageBoon Tee28 Dec 2025, 05:30 UTC
Video preview for How Much I Actually Made in 2025, Full Portfolio Breakdown
Signals
3
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
3
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
2
Canonical correct result
Failed
1
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
66.67%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis covers the overall market performance in 2025, highlighting a positive year with the S&P 500 up nearly 20% and QQQ up slightly above 20%. However, concerns exist regarding the sustainability of AI-driven growth and the potential for an AI bubble, with increasing search interest for 'AI bubble'. The portfolio allocation is predominantly in large-cap tech stocks like NVDA, TSM, GOOG, TSLA, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, and META, which have shown significant year-to-date gains. The speaker also notes that USD/SGD depreciated by approximately 6%, which would have impacted returns if USD was the base currency. The portfolio's performance is detailed with a total return of +19.95% for the year, with a beginning value of 960k SGD, new money added of 100k SGD, and an investment return of 231k SGD, resulting in a final portfolio value of 1.3 million SGD. The breakdown of individual stock performance shows strong gains in companies like NVDA (40.49%), TSM (55.21%), and MU (241.62%), while some stocks like PG&E and UNH experienced negative returns. The speaker emphasizes a long-term investment strategy focused on quality companies, ignoring short-term market noise, and re-assessing the thesis regularly. They also mention keeping slightly more cash for potential attractive opportunities. The presenter's personal portfolio has also shown consistent positive returns over multiple years, despite market volatility, by adhering to a disciplined buy-and-hold strategy.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    3 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Continue the evidence trail
Analyst history

Boon Tee

Tracked signals
38
Historical success
61.1%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.