Prediction Case File
YouTubeEvaluation Complete

I built a Bitcoin forecast model that pulls from over 1,300 sources to predict where BTC could be in the next 30 days.

2 extracted signals · 2 resolved · 0 still active

Jesse Eckel profile imageJesse Eckel05 May 2026, 01:30 UTC
Video preview for I built a Bitcoin forecast model that pulls from over 1,300 sources to predict where BTC could be in the next 30 days.
Signals
2
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
2
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
2
Canonical correct result
Failed
0
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
100%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video discusses various Bitcoin predictions, highlighting a 'Wisdom of the Crowd' model that has shown high accuracy in predicting price movements. The model analyzes over 1300 sources and uses a four-pass system to refine its forecasts. Current predictions suggest Bitcoin could reach $82,500 within 30 days, with a 5-week consensus around $79,000. The analysis also touches upon potential bearish scenarios, such as a liquidity grab scenario where Bitcoin might dip to $72k-$75k before rallying. Several specific market events like CPI releases and options expiries are identified as potential catalysts for price changes. The presenter emphasizes the importance of evidence-based reasoning over speculative sentiment in forecasting.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    2 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

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Analyst history

Jesse Eckel

Tracked signals
27
Historical success
52.4%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.