Nick Valdez looks at 2 different charts painting some very serious warning signs. The CVDD (Coin Value Days Destroyed) and the SMMA 230 have been accurate in the past. If that accuracy holds, how low are we going?

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's price action and its relationship with the CVDD (Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed) metric, as well as a smoothed moving average (SMMA) on a 1-month timeframe. The presenter references a CoinTelegraph article suggesting a potential BTC bottom between $40k-$50k, citing on-chain models and the CVDD Floor Model which currently stands at $45.5k. Historical data presented for CVDD indicates a strong correlation with Bitcoin's major lows, suggesting that a current CVDD of $47,398 might point to a future bottom. However, the presenter also highlights the SMMA (230-day) as a significant indicator, suggesting that a dip below $50k would be a bullish signal for accumulation, despite some predictions of a further dump.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   31 Mar 2026, 03:21 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:24 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. First prediction resolved

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

6. Case evaluation completed

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.