Nick Valdez looks at some VERY bearish signs for Bitcoin. First thing, a death cross on the 3-day carts. Then, we look at potential outcomes for losing the 200-week moving average. Then we look at altcoins. What about Ethereum, Solana and XRP?

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on the bearish outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, referencing historical 'death cross' patterns on Bitcoin's 3-day chart. Previous occurrences of this pattern on Bitcoin historically led to significant drops of around 50%, with potential cycle bottoms projected between March and August. The speaker notes that past death crosses were followed by substantial price declines, with the current situation showing similar bearish indicators. For Solana, a descending channel pattern is observed, with support levels identified at $100 and $40. Ethereum is also showing a bearish descending triangle pattern. The speaker highlights that losing the 200-week moving average for Bitcoin is a strong bearish signal, and such occurrences have historically led to sharp declines. The analysis suggests that similar bearish trends might be playing out for Ethereum and Solana, with specific price targets mentioned for each.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   24 Feb 2026, 05:01 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:24 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   18 Jul 2026, 02:08 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. First prediction resolved

   18 Jul 2026, 02:08 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

6. Case evaluation completed

   18 Jul 2026, 02:08 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.