Ben Cowen Latest Bitcoin Analysis & Prediction - Insanity Is Coming By Year-end!!
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Savvy Minds Connect17 Jul 2026, 01:12 UTC
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The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's market cycles and their historical patterns to predict future price movements. By comparing the current cycle to previous ones, particularly the 2018-2019 and 2014-2015 bear markets, the presenter suggests that Bitcoin may be in a mid-cycle correction. Historical data indicates that bear market bottoms typically occur between late September and early October, with a subsequent rally followed by a retest of the low, often forming a higher low. The presenter notes that on-chain indicators like the NV/RS Z-score have historically bottomed out below zero before a new bull market begins. While current indicators are not yet below zero, they are approaching that level. The presenter's base case suggests that Bitcoin's market cycle bottom may occur in late September or early October. However, a possibility remains that the bottom could be delayed, potentially occurring in late November or early December, or even later if the market experiences a more prolonged downturn, similar to previous cycles where bottoms were not confirmed until later in the year. The analysis emphasizes buying the dips during this potential consolidation phase, as historical data suggests that even during downturns, rallies often occur, leading to higher lows. The presenter advises investors to remain patient and consider dollar-cost averaging during these periods of volatility to position themselves for potential future upside.
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