Prediction Case File
YouTubeEvaluation Complete

Let's talk about the pattern that has historically ended the #Bitcoin bull market.

1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active

Benjamin Cowen profile imageBenjamin Cowen12 Aug 2025, 08:20 UTC
Video preview for Let's talk about the pattern that has historically ended the #Bitcoin bull market.
Signals
1
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
1
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
0
Canonical correct result
Failed
1
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
0%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The video provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin's historical patterns following previous halving events, focusing on the pattern ending the bull market and estimating a range for BTCs peak price and the time frame. It analyzes BTC's price action over the past, marking Q4 peaks for 2013, 2017 and 2021. The video notes a pattern, in July and August of post-halving years, of BTC tending to have increased in value. After this period it has been subject to a September pullback to the 20 week SMA. Afterwards a rally in October, and then the actual bull run market top for Q4. Based on BTCs price action patterns and applying a price range and fib levels it is predicted BTC will rally to 154000 based on past trend returns, and has a failure level of 100000.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    1 eligible signal linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

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Analyst history

Benjamin Cowen

Tracked signals
230
Historical success
37.4%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.