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AI-generated source summary

Bitcoin is currently in a bearish market, with price ranging below the old base channel. Multiple bearish scenarios are outlined using Elliott Wave analysis, including impulsive moves and various diagonal patterns, targeting price levels between $84,000 and $65,000 in the short to medium term, with a 'worst case' scenario extending to $44,000-$56,000. The primary invalidation for these bearish scenarios is around $99,677 or $94,275 depending on the timeframe. A low-probability bullish scenario, potentially leading to a new all-time high around $122,000-$126,000, is also presented, with its invalidation at $79,152.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   21 Jan 2026, 15:29 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   7 eligible signals linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   19 May 2026, 02:08 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. First prediction resolved

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

6. Case evaluation completed

   03 Jul 2026, 10:17 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.