Prediction Case File
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I just launched a free 3-day SMC strategy course that walks through exactly how I trade structure, liquidity, and entries as a full-time trader.

5 extracted signals · 5 resolved · 0 still active

Daily Price Action profile imageDaily Price Action18 Jan 2026, 01:55 UTC
Video preview for I just launched a free 3-day SMC strategy course that walks through exactly how I trade structure, liquidity, and entries as a full-time trader.
Signals
5
Eligible signals in this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Resolved
5
Evaluable outcomes
Successful
1
Canonical correct result
Failed
4
Canonical failed result
Resolved success
20%
Open and excluded signals omitted
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis for the week ending January 23rd, 2026, begins with the DXY, identifying a bullish trend from late December into early January, marked by a 1-hour change of character (ChoCH) and subsequent breaks of structure (BoS). A unique 'distribution channel' is introduced, suggesting that if DXY maintains its bullish momentum, a pullback into the 99.275-99.300 fair value gap (FVG) area could precede a push towards the 4-hour FVG around 99.671 and 100.021. Acceptance below 99.190 would invalidate the bullish bias for DXY. For EURUSD, a clear bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows is observed. The market is expected to push lower, targeting potential support in the 1.15750 to 1.15366 FVG regions. A wick into the identified 15-minute order block around 1.1615 early next week could offer a shorting opportunity, with the bearish trend remaining intact as long as prices stay below the protected high of 1.17507. GBPUSD also exhibits a confirmed bearish trend from the start of last week, indicated by a ChoCH and subsequent BoS. A pullback into a 1-hour imbalance above 1.34700 is expected before a continuation of the downtrend. The analysis suggests shorting opportunities with a protected high at 1.35218. AUDUSD is noted to be in a sideways mode, but with the New Zealand Dollar showing a bearish ChoCH, the Australian Dollar is anticipated to follow by breaking its protected low at 0.66680 and targeting daily FVGs at 0.66251 and 0.65788. Finally, for XAUUSD, a strong bullish trend is observed, characterized by multiple BoS. The strategy is to buy on pullbacks. Potential retracements into specific imbalances between 4479.790 and 4332.990 are identified as entry points for long positions, with the ultimate target being new highs. However, a deep drop below 4400.000 without a lower timeframe ChoCH would raise concerns for the bullish continuation.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    5 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  5. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  6. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

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Analyst history

Daily Price Action

Tracked signals
377
Historical success
43.7%
Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.