Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Prediction and Forecast [TSM]

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), identified as a 'Buy Candidate' with a score of 2.712. The stock recorded a 14.90% gain over the preceding 18 days, with an average daily gain of 0.83%. The closing price on January 14, 2026, was $327.11, experiencing a 1.24% decline. The stock showed an upward trend in 6 of the last 10 trading days and rose 9.12% over the past two weeks. The 52-week high stands at $336.42, with the current price 2.77% below this peak. Short-term signals from Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD suggest a bullish outlook, though Pivots issued a sell signal three days prior, indicating a potential short-term retreat. Support levels are identified at $299.84 and $284.68, with the first resistance at $327.43 and a significant resistance from accumulated volume at $333.77. The recommended stop-loss is set at $317.15 (-3.05% from current price). Longer-term, the 3-month trend suggests a potential change of 7.12% (ranging from -7.20% to +8.88%), and the 12-month analysis projects an 84.59% change, with prices ranging from $478.40 to $614.66. The P/E ratio is 27.95, considered typical. News highlights strong Q4 2025 net profit growth (~28%) driven by AI demand, with earnings anticipated on January 15, 2026, projected at $2.76 per share. However, concerns regarding capacity limits, competition, and geopolitical risks are noted. Analyst ratings are generally positive (Buy/Outperform), with an overall A- rating. The analysis concludes with a short-term bullish outlook, identifying a buying opportunity, and expects the stock to open at $327.28 on January 15, 2026.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   15 Jan 2026, 04:29 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   15 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   15 Jan 2026, 14:30 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 02:15 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.