The price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) and ether (ETH-USD) slipped lower on Thursday despite the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, as Fed chair Jerome Powell signalled the central bank will proceed cautiously into 2026.

AI-generated source summary

The analysis covers the crypto market's reaction to the recent Federal Reserve meeting, noting a prevailing neutral to dovish tone from the Fed, yet crypto markets are observed lagging behind the S&P 500's surge. Discussions around a potential 'Santa Rally' for year-end are presented with skepticism due to current market conditions. The CMC Crypto Fear & Greed Index is noted at 29, indicating a shift from extreme fear. Silver has surged, hitting a record high of $63, surpassing Microsoft in market cap, reflecting a rotation into tangible assets. Debate surrounds the future of AI spending, with contrasting views on its growth trajectory and impact on the broader economy. Ethereum (ETH) is positioned for a potential 80% rally against Bitcoin (BTC) in 2026, targeting 0.059-0.063 BTC, with a critical invalidation point at 0.0175 BTC. Solana's ecosystem shows significant development, including Coinbase allowing Solana token trading via DEX and announcements from Breakpoint 2025 like State Street's involvement in a tokenized liquidity fund. Conversely, Hyperliquid (HYPE) is identified as a poor performer, currently trading at $27 with a forecasted dip to $23, attributed to declining staking balances and broader liquidity concerns. Regulatory uncertainty in the crypto space, particularly concerning the Clarity Act, is highlighted as a significant factor influencing market sentiment and hindering growth for DeFi platforms and DEXs.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   12 Dec 2025, 01:32 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   2 eligible signals linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   19 May 2026, 01:38 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. First prediction resolved

   19 May 2026, 01:38 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

6. Case evaluation completed

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.