Learn how Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) really work and the 4 simple rules to trade the best ones.

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on identifying 'fair value gaps' (FVGs) on the EURUSD pair, primarily using the 1-hour timeframe, with refinement on lower timeframes. An FVG is defined as a three-candlestick pattern where the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle (for a bullish FVG) do not overlap, indicating an imbalance in supply and demand. These gaps represent areas where institutional orders remain unfilled, and markets tend to revisit them to seek liquidity. Four rules are established for identifying the best FVGs: 1. The FVG must be aligned with the prevailing market trend. For EURUSD, a bullish trend is identified following a 'Change of Character (ChoCH)' around 1.1527 and subsequent 'Break of Structure (BoS)' at approximately 1.1604. 2. The FVG must be created by a move that triggers a BoS or ChoCH, signifying a strong impulsive move. 3. For an uptrend, buy opportunities should only be considered when the FVG is in a 'discount' zone (below the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the current swing's external high-to-low). The current relevant swing for EURUSD from approximately 1.1578 to 1.1664 places the discount zone below 1.1621. 4. An FVG is a 'one-time use' concept; once price revisits and mitigates an FVG, it is no longer considered valid. The speaker's current analysis for EURUSD is bullish, looking for long opportunities on pullbacks. Potential entry points within FVGs are identified around 1.1582 and 1.1542, which are within the discount zone. The analysis suggests waiting for price to pull back into these areas and then looking for lower timeframe confirmations for precise entry. An inferred target price for this bullish trend is 1.1680, aiming to break the recent high. The fail bound, which would invalidate the bullish analysis, is set at 1.1527, below the ChoCH level.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   10 Dec 2025, 19:35 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   10 Dec 2025, 20:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.