Bitcoin is grinding higher in a completely new macro regime: QT ending, elections looming, and sovereign wealth funds quietly buying every correction. Cory Klippsten and the Swan Signal Live team explain why we may have just killed the classic four-year cycle, why 80% drawdowns could be gone for goo

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's price trajectory within evolving macroeconomic and institutional landscapes. It highlights the current bull market's distinction from prior cycles, noting it occurs amidst quantitative tightening (QT) rather than quantitative easing (QE), yet Bitcoin's price has steadily appreciated since mid-2022. This contrasts with previous QT periods which saw bear markets. The speaker emphasizes a vastly improved macroeconomic backdrop for Bitcoin now, citing factors such as interest rates, Fed policy, central bank balance sheets, and money supply, alongside the absence of prior crypto collapses. A long-term bullish outlook is presented, with a base case prediction for Bitcoin to achieve a new all-time high between $125,000 and $126,000 by 2026. This projection is supported by the observation of continually rising yearly lows in Bitcoin's price history over the past decade, indicating market maturation, diminishing panic, and sustained accumulation. Institutional adoption is a major theme, with sovereign wealth funds actively buying into corrections and major financial institutions like Bank of America, Vanguard, Schwab, and Citi pivoting from skeptical to positive stances on Bitcoin, offering custody and investment services. The CFTC's approval of federally regulated spot Bitcoin trading provides crucial clarity and direct market access for institutional investors, further supporting the long-term bullish sentiment. This shift signifies a maturation of the market, where professional money managers with conviction view price dips as accumulation opportunities, leading to a smoother, less volatile, and continuously appreciating asset.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   08 Dec 2025, 22:28 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   19 May 2026, 02:08 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. Live evaluation in progress

   01 Aug 2026, 02:54 UTC

   1 signal remains active.