In today’s weekly forecast, I break down the exact levels and structure shifts I’m watching on DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD (gold). Some of these markets are sitting right on top of major SMC decision points that could set the tone for the week.

AI-generated source summary

The DXY is currently in a 4-hour downward channel, showing recent bearish momentum, but maintains an overall bullish structure for the past few months. A critical support level for dollar bulls is identified at 98.60, aligning with a September FVG and a confirmed break of structure low. A bounce from this level, leading to a close above the recent high around 99.30, would confirm a bullish change of character within the recent downtrend, targeting 99.80. Conversely, a decisive close below 98.60 would signal a broader bearish shift. EURUSD has experienced a confirmed bullish change of character on the 4-hour timeframe, with a key support at 1.15990. As long as EURUSD remains above this level, the bullish trend is expected to continue, targeting highs around 1.1680. For GBPUSD, the monthly September FVG target of 1.3300-1.3350 was achieved last week. The 4-hour chart indicates a bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. Key support levels for the Pound are identified between the weekly bullish FVG at 1.31934 and a 30-minute order block at 1.31480. Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a bullish trend with recent breaks of structure. Despite sideways movement last week, the price remains above a significant daily bullish FVG at 4,091.079 and an upward trendline. The analysis anticipates a potential pullback into the 4,132.985 - 4,091.079 FVG region, followed by a bullish bounce. Upper targets include buy-side inefficiencies (single prints) in the 4,280 - 4,356 range. Maintaining price above the 4,080 level is crucial for the bullish outlook.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   06 Dec 2025, 21:50 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   10 Dec 2025, 19:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   11 Dec 2025, 15:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   4 eligible signals linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.