Friends! In this video, I'm going to do a Molina healthcare stock analysis and talk about the risks and upside potential of MOH stock
1 extracted signal · 1 resolved · 0 still active
The Patient Investor06 Dec 2025, 00:38 UTC
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The video presents a fundamental analysis of Molina Healthcare (MOH). It highlights Michael Burry's position, where 43% of his portfolio is dedicated to the stock. The stock has declined 47% year-to-date. The company derives 88% of its business from Medicaid, 7% from Medicare, and 5% from the Healthcare Marketplace. The analysis indicates Molina's premium revenue has grown significantly, reaching $38.6 billion in 2024 from $18.2 billion in 2020, and earnings per share has also grown from $11.23 to $20.42. The analysis notes that Molina faces challenges, including higher Medical Care Ratios (MCR), which is 92% on Medicaid. The video indicates the company is repricing its Marketplace book to reduce exposure and restore margins, aiming for a 30% rate increase. In 2026, the outlook expects approximately $14.00 in earnings per share. The management team said rate increases beyond initial assumptions create a significant earnings upside of $4.50 of earnings per share for each 100 basis point increase of MLR. This leads the presenter to believe with an average P/E ratio of 15x, that the stock will recover.
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