SPDR S&P 500 ETF ETF Prediction and Forecast [SPY]

AI-generated source summary

The analysis for SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), based on data up to December 2nd, 2025, assigns a 'Hold/Accumulate' rank with a score of -0.052. Over the preceding 7 days, SPY exhibited a 3.40% gain, averaging 0.49% daily. The short-term trend is identified as a weak upward movement, with a projected 3-month change of approximately 3.51%, ranging from a potential 0.476% decrease to a 5.73% increase. The 12-month analysis forecasts an 18.59% change, suggesting a future price between $674.21 and $827.18. An inferred 12-month target price of $808.27 is derived from this projection. On the last trading day, SPY closed at $681.43, marking a 0.169% increase. Daily fluctuation was 0.67%, with the price moving between $679.33 (low) and $683.88 (high). Trading volume increased by 7 million shares, totaling 62 million, and was valued at $42.16 billion USD. SPY is currently 1.20% below its 52-week and all-time high of $689.70. Technical signals include 'buy' from both short and long-term Moving Averages, with the short-term MA positioned above the long-term MA. Support levels are identified at $675.30 and $673.45, with a breakdown below these levels initiating sell signals. Despite a positive correlation between rising volume and price, a sell signal from a pivot top on November 28, 2025, resulted in a -0.237% decline, and the 3-month MACD currently indicates a sell signal. Current resistance is at $682.06, with a primary support at $659.00. The weekly volatility is 0.85%, and the associated risk is deemed very low. A suggested stop-loss is set at $653.45. The system concludes that SPY's current price is 'undervalued' and recommends a 'hold/accumulate' position.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   03 Dec 2025, 05:03 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

3. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:48 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

4. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 02:14 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

5. First prediction resolved

   02 Jul 2026, 02:14 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

6. Case evaluation completed

   02 Jul 2026, 02:14 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.